EU Carbon Tax Shock

EU Carbon Tax Shock

Why in the News?

  • The European Union has begun full implementation of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) from January 1, 2026, marking the world’s first operational carbon border tax.
  • Indian exports of steel and aluminium, which form a major share of India–EU trade, are expected to face a 15–22 percent increase in landed costs.
  • The move has triggered concerns in India regarding export competitiveness, equity in climate action, and WTO compatibility.

Basics about Carbon Tax and Carbon Pricing

  • A carbon tax is a policy instrument that places a financial cost on greenhouse gas emissions, usually calculated per tonne of carbon dioxide emitted.
  • The core objective of carbon taxation is to discourage carbon-intensive production and encourage adoption of cleaner technologies.
  • Globally, carbon pricing takes multiple forms:
    • Emissions-based tax, where firms pay directly for the volume of emissions generated.
    • Goods-based tax, imposed on carbon-intensive products such as coal, steel, or petroleum.
    • Cap-and-trade systems, where governments cap total emissions and allow trading of emission permits.
    • Carbon tariffs, which tax imports based on their embedded carbon content to prevent carbon leakage.
  • CBAM represents a shift from domestic carbon pricing to cross-border climate regulation.

What is the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)?

  • CBAM is a climate-linked trade measure introduced by the European Union to impose a carbon price on imports from countries with weaker climate regulations.
  • It aligns import costs with the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) by requiring importers to purchase CBAM carbon certificates.
  • The price of these certificates mirrors the auction price of carbon under the EU ETS.
  • CBAM is part of the EU’s “Fit for 55” package, which aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 55 percent by 2030 compared to 1990 levels.
  • The mechanism transitioned from a reporting-only phase (2023–2025) to full enforcement in 2026.
  • It covers carbon-intensive sectors such as:
    • Steel and aluminium
    • Cement and fertilisers
    • Electricity and hydrogen
    • Selected energy-intensive industrial inputs

Why India’s Metal Exports Are Highly Exposed

  • India’s exports to the EU are heavily concentrated in CBAM-covered sectors, especially steel and aluminium.
  • Indian steel production largely depends on blast furnace technology, which emits significantly more carbon than electric arc furnaces.
  • The limited availability of steel scrap in India restricts large-scale adoption of low-emission electric arc furnace technology.
  • Small and medium exporters face low pricing power, making it difficult for them to absorb or pass on CBAM-related costs.
  • The structural dependence on carbon-intensive legacy infrastructure places Indian producers at a comparative disadvantage.

Cost and Compliance Impact on Indian Exporters

  • CBAM is expected to raise the export price of Indian steel and aluminium by 15–22 percent.
  • Exporters must provide detailed, plant-level emissions data, which is often unavailable, especially among MSMEs.
  • In the absence of verified emissions data, exporters may be subjected to default emission values, which are typically higher.
  • Increased compliance costs risk erosion of market share, as EU buyers may switch to lower-carbon suppliers.
  • The mechanism converts climate compliance into a non-tariff trade barrier, affecting competitiveness.

Key Concerns Raised by India

  • India argues that CBAM violates the principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibilities (CBDR) under global climate agreements.
  • The mechanism disproportionately burdens developing countries, which lack access to affordable clean technology and transition finance.
  • It raises concerns about WTO compatibility, particularly regarding non-discrimination and disguised protectionism.
  • India has opposed CBAM at multilateral platforms such as the WTO and UNCTAD, calling for dialogue-based solutions.
  • New Delhi has sought special consideration for MSMEs and developing economies during negotiations.

Scrap Availability and the Technology Divide

  • Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs) use recycled scrap and emit significantly less carbon than blast furnaces.
  • Countries like the United States, European Union, and United Kingdom control large scrap reserves, giving their producers a cost advantage.
  • Scrap-based producers face lower CBAM exposure, reinforcing existing structural inequalities.
  • Indian producers face a systemic disadvantage due to constrained access to scrap and high transition costs.

Does CBAM Effectively Address Climate Change?

  • Studies suggest CBAM may reduce only around 0.1 percent of global carbon dioxide emissions.
  • There is a risk of geographical shifting of emissions, rather than actual global emission reduction.
  • CBAM focuses on taxation rather than technology transfer, limiting its developmental effectiveness.
  • The absence of climate finance and capacity-building support weakens its credibility as a climate solution.

Implications for Global Trade Governance

  • CBAM sets a precedent for climate-linked trade barriers, encouraging similar measures by the United Kingdom and the United States.
  • It risks fragmenting the multilateral trading system, undermining consensus-based global trade rules.
  • The mechanism deepens the North–South divide by transferring climate adjustment costs to exporters.
  • It signals a shift from cooperative climate action to regulatory enforcement through trade.

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