FishMIP Project

FishMIP provides knowledge to support effective planning for adaptive and resilient seafood sectors under climate change.
It was launched in 2013.
It has a network of more than 100 marine ecosystem modellers and researchers from around the world.
In 2024, FishMIP 2.0 was established to increase the reliability of modeling projections and answer policy-related questions on food security and marine resource management.
The FishMIP and Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) collaborated to understand the long-term impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems and fisheries through a set of state-of-the-art numerical models.
FishMIP uses an ensemble modeling approach, combining results from multiple ecosystem models to make projections on ocean biomass at global and regional scales.

Impacts of Climate Change

Under the high-emissions scenario, global warming could reach 3-4°C by the end of the century, leading to steep declines in fish biomass (over 10% in many regions).
Strong climate mitigation can significantly reduce losses in fish biomass.
Country-specific impacts:
- Peru: 37.3% decline in fish biomass under the high-emissions scenario.
- China: 30.9% decline in fish biomass in its Exclusive Economic Zone under the high-emissions scenario.

The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) is a specialized agency of the United Nations that leads international efforts to defeat hunger and improve nutrition and food security.
FAO’s goal is to achieve food security for all and ensure access to enough high-quality food for active and healthy lives.
Headquarter: Rome (Italy).
Reports published by the FAO:
- The State of the World’s Forests (SOFO),
- The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture (SOFIA),
- The State of Agricultural Commodity Markets (SOCO),
- The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World (SOFI).
FAO has 195 members, including 194 countries and the European Union, and publishes reports on the state of the world’s forests, fisheries, and food security.

17 July 2024:
- The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) has predicted a decline in exploitable fish biomass by 30% or more by the end of the century if emissions remain high.